Newsletter / US Politics
The State as Loyalty Test
Trumpism’s governing theory is increasingly simple: rules are for other people.
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Law Becomes a Sorting Mechanism
The most revealing Trump stories are no longer the ones in which he breaks a norm. Norm-breaking has become too familiar to be diagnostic. The question is what replaces the norm, and the emerging answer is a government that treats law less as a common restraint than as a sorting device: protection for allies, pressure for opponents, and a permanent audition for everyone else.
Consider Evanston, Illinois, where a local reparations program offers $25,000 grants to eligible Black residents and descendants of residents who lived there during the city’s segregated-housing era. The city says its program responds to documented harms connected in part to municipal policy; the Justice Department, having joined a lawsuit brought by Judicial Watch, argues that its race-specific eligibility violates equal protection. More than 300 people have received grants from a $20 million fund financed by cannabis-sales and real-estate-transfer taxes, and the city says it will continue payments to approved recipients while the case proceeds. NPR’s account makes clear that this is a genuine constitutional dispute, not a bumper sticker with filing fees.
But the administration’s civil-rights chief supplied the political register with unusual economy: “It is race discrimination, pure and simple.” Then: “We're going to put a stop to it.” The legal issue will be resolved, if it is resolved, in court. The more immediate governing instinct is visible already: federal power is being deployed not merely to articulate a rule, but to decide which historical claims may be made legible to the state. In this version of equal protection, history is welcome as décor and suspect as a remedy.
A Brazilian Court Meets the American Patronage Network
The same instinct travels remarkably well. Anne Applebaum’s account in The Atlantic describes the 2025 U.S. actions against Brazil as a striking use of normally formidable tools: 50 percent tariffs on Brazilian products, canceled visas for eight Brazilian Supreme Court justices, and sanctions against Justice Alexandre de Moraes and his family. The measures came while former president Jair Bolsonaro was on trial over allegations that he plotted a coup after losing the 2022 election.
The article’s interpretation is that these were not ordinary trade or anti-corruption measures but pressure linked to Brazil’s internal political conflict, MAGA’s affinity for Bolsonaro, and de Moraes’s conflict with Elon Musk’s X. That interpretation matters because sanctions and visa restrictions carry institutional memory: they were built to isolate dictators, major criminals, and alleged perpetrators of grave abuses. Pointing them at a judge in a friendly democracy, as the article describes, changes their meaning. A toolbox becomes a patronage system with diplomatic stationery.
Trump publicly called Bolsonaro’s prosecution a “WITCH HUNT.” Steve Bannon called Brazilian insurrectionists “freedom fighters,” according to the article. None of this proves that every American action had a single motive; the supplied excerpt does not include the administration’s full response. It does show the governing aesthetic. An independent court is no longer simply another country’s institution. It is a potential obstacle in a transnational grievance ecosystem, and obstacles are now expected to encounter tariffs, travel bans, or an extremely interested billionaire.
Allies Discover Washington Is Not a Weather System
America’s allies are learning that deference is not the same thing as strategy. Salon’s analysis of the settlement-goods initiative reports that Britain plans an import ban on goods produced in Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank, alongside sanctions aimed at “specific companies and individuals” involved in settlement expansion. Canada, France, and nine other European countries joined a statement describing restrictions on “trade in goods with settlements which are illegal under international law,” while some said they were “actively considering these and other measures.”
The material effect may be modest. The article itself stresses bureaucratic hedging, uncertain implementation, and the likelihood that some governments may not follow through. Germany and Italy did not sign. Yet diplomacy runs heavily on signals, which is why governments spend so much time pretending symbols are beneath them. According to the article, British Prime Minister Andy Burnham informed Trump of the coming announcement; whether this was courtesy, warning, or both is not established here. It was nevertheless a conspicuous decision to act rather than await Washington’s permission slip.
This is not a neat morality play in which Europe has finally found a backbone in a cupboard. It is a narrower, more consequential adjustment: allies may increasingly hedge against an American foreign policy whose tools can appear responsive to personal alliances and ideological kinship. If Washington treats foreign institutions as extensions of its domestic culture war, partners will begin treating Washington less as the metronome of the alliance and more as a variable. Empires dislike variables. Foreign ministries call them contingency planning.
The China Clause Eats Every Other Clause
At home, the most efficient solvent for restraint remains the word China. The Verge reports that Anthropic’s Dario Amodei urged the industry to “pace the frontier,” a position publicly supported by OpenAI’s Sam Altman and Elon Musk, with tentative support from Alphabet’s Demis Hassabis. Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson instead warned that slowing or quickly regulating AI could cost the United States its lead.
Trump’s formulation was bracingly total: “Look, we’re leading China in AI ... and, frankly, I want to keep it that way, because whoever wins AI, wins.” Johnson called hasty restriction a “national security threat.” The claims are positions, not demonstrated forecasts; the supplied reporting does not establish what kind of pause or regulation was proposed, nor whether it would alter the U.S.-China balance. But the rhetorical function is plain enough. Competition supplies an all-purpose exemption from deliberation. Every institutional brake can be recast as unilateral disarmament, which is a very convenient constitutional theory if one dislikes brakes.
That logic rhymes with the broader issue. In Evanston, the contested question is whether a remedy may account for a specific history. In Brazil, the concern is whether state power is being bent toward an ideological ally. In AI, a race is invoked to make caution sound like surrender. And in campaign politics, Techdirt’s critique of coverage argues that an alarming loyalty-and-election moment received less attention than a proposed $5,000 payment. The New York Times described Trump as “a little bored of politics.” The danger is not boredom. It is the steady conversion of public authority into a contest where loyalty defines the team, competition defines the emergency, and rules become a sign that someone else is supposed to lose.
Sources
- Trump Told Supporters To “Cheat Like Hell.” The NY Times Went With “A Bit Tired Of Politics.”
Techdirt
- This city led the way on reparations for Black people. Trump is trying to stop it
NPR
- Canada, France and UK break ranks with Trump and US in dramatic shift on Israel
Salon
- Empire of Grift
The Atlantic
- Trump and Mike Johnson think the AI industry is overreacting
The Verge
Trump
rule of law
civil rights
foreign policy
AI policy
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